Valuetainment Episodes

Kalshi had Flávio Bolsonaro at roughly 85% to win Brazil's presidential election. Then Lula won the runoff. Was the prediction market wrong? Kalshi founder Tarek Mansour explains what really happened, and what it means for the 2026 midterms.Mansour breaks down the biggest misunderstanding about prediction markets: a 25% chance isn't zero. It means that outcome should happen one in four times. He explains how markets absorb new information in real time, why accuracy can only be judged across thousands of markets (not one), and why Kalshi's odds are a probability, not a poll.

Mansour shares his message to young people who feel shut out of the system: stop sitting on the sidelines. With AI, it's never been easier to build something. His advice is to follow the thing you're "childishly excited" about, the topic your friends roll their eyes at because you can't stop talking about it.

Gavin Newsom was caught on camera telling an undercover journalist that the Democratic Socialists of America will be the dominant force in the Democratic Party. While campaigning in New Hampshire for Democratic candidate Stefany Shaheen, Newsom was approached by someone posing as a young voter who said younger Democrats want more democratic socialist policies, not "more Kamala Harris."

How does Kalshi make money, and is it gambling? Kalshi founder Tarek Mansour explains why Kalshi works like a stock exchange, not a casino.A sportsbook makes money when you lose, so it has every reason to push out winning bettors. Kalshi takes a small fee on every trade, win or lose, which means it wants the smartest traders. Just like the New York Stock Exchange, those traders make the prices more accurate.------

For the first time since the Korean War, the U.S. Army is training for mass temporary burials on the battlefield. At Fort Bragg, North Carolina, engineers, chaplains, and fatality management teams practiced digging temporary graves, a wartime procedure for when fallen soldiers can't be safely brought home right away. So why is the Army preparing for this now?

Elon Musk is warning that a Democratic sweep of the House, Senate, and presidency in 2028 could turn America into "a permanent one-party state." In a viral post, Musk lays out three things he believes Democrats would do with full control: make DC and Puerto Rico states, legalize everyone living in America illegally, and expand the Supreme Court.

How much does fame really matter compared to looks? Looksmaxxing influencer Clavicular and former ’90s heartthrob Antonio Sabato Jr. compare their dating lives before and after becoming famous. Sabato Jr. recalls getting famous at 17 from Janet Jackson’s “Love Will Never Do (Without You)” video and General Hospital, while Clavicular reveals he gets so many DMs from women that he’s outsourced replying to them, and explains why he says famous guys should never cold approach again.

Clavicular reveals what’s next for his career, saying he wants to leave his immature early days behind and focus on content that actually helps young men, like safe dieting without stunting development. He talks about the 14-person team he trusts, and Antonio Sabato Jr. shares his advice as a father in his 50s, calling Clavicular a smart, well-meaning kid with a good heart who wants to give back.

Do looks or confidence matter more with women? Patrick Bet-David challenges looksmaxxing influencer Clavicular with two stories from his military days: a short, broke guy who got more girls than anyone, and the best-looking guy in the group who froze whenever a girl wasn’t interested. Clavicular responds by drawing his “oofy doofy theory” and explains why he believes inhibition, not looks, holds most guys back.

Fame, money, looks, or confidence: which matters most for attracting women? Looksmaxxing influencer Clavicular ranks looks number one and argues money only makes up for it at extreme levels. He also admits Antonio Sabato Jr. “mogs” him despite never using TRT or surgery, says he’d leave a bar if model David Gandy walked in, and shares how he spotted underage girls using fake IDs. Patrick Bet-David warns that a life built only around looks will be tough long term.

Clavicular and Antonio Sabàto Jr. debate the brutal reality of modern dating. Does money or physical attractiveness matter more to women? From Instagram competition to the rise of looksmaxxing, Clavicular explains why average men are struggling and why even wealthy men may never find true love.

Looksmaxxing influencer Clavicular rates celebrities and politicians out of 10, and his scores are brutal. He gives Elvis a 4.75, Michael Jordan a 5, Tom Brady a 7.5, Barack Obama a 5.25, and explains why Trump’s looks beat Elvis. Then he rates Zohran Mamdani, Marco Rubio, JD Vance, AOC, and more, while Antonio Sabato Jr. gives his own scores and reveals he once dated Pamela Anderson.

Clavicular reveals the disturbing extremes of looksmaxxing, from men cutting their own faces to dangerous height-increasing surgeries. Patrick Bet-David presses him on the risks of plastic surgery, testosterone use, and the obsession with physical perfection. How far is too far in the pursuit of beauty?

On Call Her Daddy, Alex Cooper told women that if they’re stuck wondering whether they can get better than their marriage, “the answer is always yes.” Actress Sophia Bush added that the idea that it’s too late, or that you’re too old to want more, is “patriarchy.”

Polish MEP Dominik Tarczyński asked Piers Morgan one simple question about the Paris riots: how many mosques were destroyed? Piers didn’t have an answer.Tarczyński says the answer is none, and says churches were hit instead. He argues Europe is facing a cultural takeover, points to Poland’s experience at the Belarus border, where a Polish soldier was killed, and says Poland has a right to protect itself. When Piers asks why so many Americans believe Europe is facing an Islamist takeover, Tarczyński’s answer is four words: “I guess we have eyeballs.”

Looksmaxxing influencer Clavicular says he’d rather keep his hair than ever have sex again, and explains why he thinks losing it would make him “sexless.” In this interview, he breaks down the halo effect, facial dimorphism, why he ranks face above hair, and the Jeremy Meeks “hot felon” example. He also shares what he thinks a young man’s goals should be and how his parents feel about his viral fame.

Elon Musk admits SpaceX restricted Ukraine’s Starlink, saying Ukraine’s military broke Starlink’s terms of service by using it for offensive drone strikes. The slowdown disrupted Ukrainian front-line operations for more than a week before speeds were restored, and Ukraine disputes Musk’s claim. Here’s why SpaceX throttled the service and what it means for the war with Russia.

Gunmen opened fire on a Christian funeral at St. George’s Greek Orthodox Church in Karak, Jordan, killing 9 people and wounding about 40. The attack happened on October 23, 2026, in the village of Hmoud in southern Jordan, and King Abdullah II has condemned it as a terrorist attack.

Lula wins Brazil’s 2026 presidential election, beating Flávio Bolsonaro in the October 25 runoff to secure a historic fourth term. The final count gave Lula 51.8% to Bolsonaro’s 48.2%, reversing Bolsonaro’s first-round lead. We break down the results, what it means for Brazil, and what comes next.

Former Secret Service agent Evy Poumpouras joins Patrick Bet-David and reveals the president who kept breaking Secret Service protocol: Bill Clinton. Agents wanted to get him from the car to the stage with no stops, but Clinton couldn’t resist stopping to talk and shake hands with every crowd he passed, which made him late and kept his detail on edge. Evy explains why his connection with people was genuine, the name trick he used to make everyone feel seen, and what the other presidents she protected were like up close.

Former Secret Service agent Evy Poumpouras joins Patrick Bet-David to discuss reports that Chinese nationals working at America’s top AI companies may be passing information back home. Evy says foreign actors are getting people hired at US companies, some through deepfake job applicants who swap people mid-interview with a “bathroom break.” She explains why you should never take your real phone to China, why America is seen as naive by its enemies, and how companies can protect themselves by being the gatekeepers of who they hire.

Former Secret Service agent and polygraph examiner Evy Poumpouras joins Patrick Bet-David and tells the story of a Secret Service applicant who seemed fine on paper until her polygraph got him to confess that he used to set cats on fire. Evy explains why behavior toward animals is one of the biggest red flags in Secret Service hiring, how small acts of cruelty in childhood can escalate, and why you can never fully vouch for anyone. This is someone who would have been handed automatic weapons and put in the White House next to the most powerful people in the world.

Former Secret Service agent Evy Poumpouras joins Patrick Bet-David to break down the 2009 Fort Hood shooting, in which Army Major Nidal Hasan killed 13 people. The warning signs were there: colleagues raised alarms about his extremist views, and two officers called him a “ticking time bomb.” So how did he slip through, get promoted, and get ordered to Afghanistan anyway? Evy reveals who she believes failed to stop it, how the Secret Service prevents attacks by acting on warnings, and why consequences matter.

Floyd Mayweather says two men he trusted stole a combined $550 million from him, including $350 million in Showtime back-end money that he says was routed to someone else’s account, and that he’s now in litigation to get it back. He also shares his “always put half up” rule for saving, why real estate is now his main income, and why he turned down a Netflix offer that would have paid him and Manny Pacquiao the same $27.5 million for a rematch.

Floyd Mayweather explains how a $750,000 check to buy out his contract and become his own promoter turned into a reported $750 million across his fights with McGregor, Pacquiao and Canelo. He also explains why he’d let any fighter walk away from him, and why being born broke means he’ll never fear losing it all.

Floyd Mayweather watches the footage of himself in tears at 19, after the controversial 1996 Olympic semifinal loss to Serafim Todorov, and explains why “blood, sweat, and tears” are part of life and why, to him, money is nothing but comfort. Then he reveals he’s been told the man who beat him is now homeless, and says that if Patrick Bet-David can find Todorov, he’ll help him.

Floyd Mayweather explains why he never drank or did drugs, even while partying with his team: he watched his mother struggle with drugs and his father deal them, and during training camp he’d run six or seven miles home from the club. He also recalls being in the same arena as Tupac the night Tupac was shot after the Mike Tyson fight, and says he was supposed to be at the afterparty.

Floyd Mayweather names Victoriano Sosa, not a household name, as the hardest puncher he ever faced, and says he credits Jake Paul’s hustle but that “you can’t play boxing,” pointing to the broken jaw Paul suffered once he fought a real fighter. He also claims Conor McGregor took his swag to the UFC, says a McGregor rematch could happen, and explains how training in front of hundreds of people in “the dog house” taught him to stay calm in the ring.

Floyd Mayweather explains where his bulletproof confidence comes from: his father declared that a 16-year-old Floyd would win a tournament against grown men, and he went on to win it three years straight, the last two while his dad was in prison, before making the Olympics on his own. He also says he believes America is the greatest country in the world, refuses to wade into the socialism-versus-capitalism debate, and gives a one-line answer on taxes: “No taxes.”

In an audience Q&A, Floyd Mayweather explains the switch from “Pretty Boy Floyd” to “Money Mayweather,” why he says hating comes with success (“good press, bad press, write about me”), and how he started investing in real estate while he was still fighting so the transition would be easy. He also introduces TMT Legal Network, a nationwide effort to get people who can’t afford good lawyers fair representation, and shares his advice on believing in yourself, betting on yourself, and cutting the people around you who are liabilities.

Floyd Mayweather says his 5-year-old grandson, who trains in the boxing gym every day and only wants to spar, could be the next Floyd Mayweather, and explains why champions have to start young, the way his father had him in the gym from age one or two. He also opens up about clashing with his dad after he returned from prison, and publicly apologizes for what he said about him in the past, calling him the best man he’s ever known.

Kimberly Guilfoyle is out as US ambassador to Greece, and the Trump donor who exposed her says he’s taking her to court.The White House asked Guilfoyle to resign after claims that she threatened foreign officials, gave lobbyists special access and tried to get paid for political favors. Trump donor Eric Deters says she pressured him to wire $100,000 to pay off her American Express bill before her confirmation hearing and promised to get him on Tucker Carlson’s show. When her lawyers called his texts fake, Deters said he’d sue her and her legal team for defamation. Now insiders claim she’s been keeping a secret “burn book” on the Trump family, nicknamed “The Devil Wears MAGA.”

Sammy "The Bull" Gravano tells Patrick Bet-David he believes the Italian mob was patriotic, pointing to the many mobsters who served in the military and recalling how his immigrant father insisted the family speak English and embrace American laws, flag, and culture. Gravano argues that immigrants should come to make the country stronger rather than divide it, adding that no policy can please everyone and invoking John F. Kennedy's call to ask what you can do for your country.

Billy Crystal says he’s stopped talking to God because he no longer trusts him.In a candid interview on CBS Sunday Morning, the 78-year-old comedian opened up about the year that shook his faith. In January 2025, the Palisades wildfires destroyed the home he and his wife had lived in for decades. Then, in December 2025, his longtime friend and collaborator Rob Reiner and Reiner’s wife, Michele, were murdered in their home, the night after Crystal had been with them at a holiday gathering. Asked whether he still talks to God, as he did in his famous show “700 Sundays,” Crystal said no, because too many bad things have happened. He’s now turning that grief into his new one-man Broadway show, “860,” named after the address of the home he lost.____

Raymond Ibrahim argues that Islam conflicts with Western religious freedom and that Europe's leaders are enabling its influence. From the Reformation to 1960s liberalism, he traces what he sees as a collapse of Christian resistance. Has tolerance become surrender, and who pays the price in the West?

Katie Zacharia’s run as White House press secretary was over almost before it started. Patrick Bet-David and Tom break down the “lawyer vs. attorney” controversy, the moment Trump turned to her to answer for herself, and why Hannity grilling her on Fox was a sign her own side had turned. Was this on her, or on the vetting team that put her there? And did nobody want to follow Karoline Leavitt?

Anduril, the AI weapons company co-founded by Palmer Luckey, is now valued at roughly $90 billion, up from $61 billion just five months ago.The company opened an employee tender offer at $94.80 a share, letting insiders in 16 countries sell up to $1.3 billion in stock. Founded in 2017 by the man who sold Oculus to Facebook for $2.3 billion, Anduril builds drones, unmanned fighter jets, autonomy software, and surveillance systems for the Pentagon and US allies, and recently landed a Navy contract worth up to $2.9 billion.

Elon Musk promised a Tesla that could hover, and people laughed. Now the new Tesla Roadster has jumped over cars and driven upside down.In a demo in Texas, the Roadster made short aerial hops over other vehicles using compressed-air thrusters, the “SpaceX package” Musk has been teasing for years. It doesn’t fly like an aircraft, but it does things no production car has done before.

Former Secret Service agent Evy Poumpouras joins Patrick Bet-David to analyze James Talarico's interviews after his absence from the Texas Senate campaign. She examines his body language, shifting explanations, and choice of words as questions over a viral theory collide with a high-stakes election.

Diesel prices have topped $6 a gallon, breaking the record set in 2022, and truckers are feeling it first. Small carriers and owner-operators are getting squeezed by fuel costs, and some drivers have called for parking their rigs in protest. Trump responded with an executive order opening tax-exempt diesel to highway use. But when trucking costs go up, everything you buy goes up with them.

Germany has more than 148,000 people wanted on arrest warrants, and 87% of them don’t hold German citizenship, according to new figures from the German Interior Ministry. Only about 11% are German-only citizens. Romanians and Poles make up the largest groups. What does this say about Germany’s immigration and border policy?

Nidal Hasan killed 13 people at Fort Hood in 2009, and Trump has approved his execution by firing squad. When Pope Leo was asked about it, his answer was blunt: “The death penalty is inadmissible.” The first American pope is drawing a hard line against executing even a convicted mass shooter. Is he right, or is this justice?

Was Vlad the Impaler a hero or a monster? Raymond Ibrahim separates the Wallachian ruler from Bram Stoker’s Dracula, discussing Ottoman captivity, brutal punishments and the propaganda that shaped his reputation. Patrick Bet-David asks about the man behind the legend.

Raymond Ibrahim argues that Muhammad's rise combined military power, tribal loyalty and promises of paradise. Patrick presses him on how that message became a global religion. Ibrahim also challenges Western portrayals of Islam and Christianity, warning that historical amnesia fuels misplaced guilt.

Trump drew one line for Zelenskyy: do whatever you want, but don’t hit the diesel fuel. Zelenskyy hit the refineries anyway. In this clip, Trump makes it clear he’s had enough, saying the war never should have started and that Zelenskyy had multiple chances to settle and chose not to.